Cyclone Warning Center News: Super Typhoon “Guchol/Butchoy,” that was when it peaked intensity the past 2 days after gathering much energy off the Eastern coast of Visayas and Luzon. She was indeed a stunner type of system, one could not take hold such beauty in a monstrosity of proportions when it undergone a rapid intensification phase otherwise called in a meteorological tech jargon as “Explosive deepening,” on 1500Z of 16th of June 2012 exactly located at 15.6N-128.6E, which appro... Continue reading ...
An area of low pressure and heavy thunderstorms has developed over Western and Central Caribbean, and this disturbance will need to be watched for development as it moves northwest at 5 - 10 mph and enters the Gulf of Mexico late this week. The disturbance is poorly organized, and its modest area of heavy thunderstorms is bringing rains to Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, South Florida, the Southern Bahamas, and Cuba today. Wind shear is a moderate to high 20 - 30 knots over the region, and the s... Continue reading ...
Japan's Pacific coast was bracing itself for a powerful typhoon Monday as it headed northeast along the Okinawa Islands, packing winds of up to 144 kilometres (90 miles) per hour, officials said.
The Japan Meteorological Agency warned that the typhoon, named Guchol, could cause thunderstorms, strong winds and high waves as it was expected to push a seasonal rain front north toward the Japanese main islands.
The storm system was located about 170 kilometres (106 miles) southeast of Okinawa's ma...
Infrared mode image with the typhoon GUCHOL left, and right 91W system. 15.06.12, 09 UTC.
15.06.12. With this news, we look to the western North Pacific Ocean , the tropical cyclone activity remarkable is taking place in this basin.
Thus, the archipelago of the Philippines is breathing more or less quiet since GUCHOL severe tropical storm (orBUTCHOY , according to the Philippine Weather Service, PAGASA) that is currently causing winds of 110 km / h and gusts of 140 km / h, is taking a course th...
Typhoon Guchol is forecast to strike Japan at about 13:00 GMT on 19 June.Data supplied by theUS Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Centersuggest that the point of landfallwill benear32.7 N,136.1 E.Guchol is expected to bring 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around175 km/h (109 mph).Wind gusts in the area maybeconsiderably higher.
According to the Saffir-Simpson damage scale the potential property damage and flooding from a storm ofGuchol'sstrength (category 2)at landfall...
6:35 p.m. Sunday, June 17, Japan time: Tropical Cyclone Condition of Readiness 2 issued for Okinawa at 6:35 p.m. local. Destructive winds of 58 mph or greater now possible within 24 hours.
6:20 p.m. Sunday, June 17, Japan time: Though a very powerful storm, Super Typhoon Guchol hasn’t developed into the uber-monster as earlier forecasts indicated, possibly a consequence of it moving so rapidly north-northwest. Sea surface temperatures are warm enough, but Guchol isn’t st...
Iloilo City, Philippines, 17 June 2012, (0000Z)–As the Philippines continue to monitor the progress of a huge and intense “Super Typhoon,” off the Eastern seaboards of Luzon, a massive temblor has hit the other side of Luzon, where most of the people across much of the country awakes to a beautiful Sunday morning, perhaps shaken this early, and considering today is “Father’s Day” across the globe. With much concern on the ongoing disruptions nationwide as the National Disaster Ris...
As I have been mentioning for at least a couple of weeks now, the very real possibility is there for the development of a tropical cyclone in either the Bay of Campeche or the western Gulf of Mexico as early as Wednesday of next week. This morning is no exception as the model guidance, even though they vary exactly where this system will form, all agree that something may be brewing in the Bay of Campeche/western Gulf by the middle part of next week.
The only area of concern today continues to be invest area 94-E located in the southeast Pacific, just off the coast of Central America. As you can see in the satellite picture (courtesy of the University of Wisconsin’s CIMSS site), the low pressure area is gradually becoming better organized. The red “I” indicates the initial position of the center of the low. There is some banding of the cloud cover and deep tropical convection is maintaining itself. A majority of the reliable compute...
Torrential rains are wracking parts of Taiwan, with landslides and flooding leaving at least five dead.
Flooding has devastated bridges and roads throughout the country. 300 were left stranded in a local village when this river burst its banks, washing the bridge away.
Rescuers found this pregnant woman and her child stranded in deep water under a bridge as the rains continued.
Local residents in New Taipei City were seen trying to sweep flood water away from their homes overnight.
The developing pattern continues to look favorable for tropical development in the Gulf of Mexico later next week as the MJO moves into phase 1, lending upward motion support to the western Atlantic, which is usually necessary for getting a June development. The ridging pattern over the Great Lakes also supports piling up of air to the south of the United States, which leads to upward motion and lowering of pressures in the Gulf of Mexico, and this is being echoed by all of the models. What t... Continue reading ...
The overall weather pattern for the rest of this week into this weekend consists of a frontal system passage across the Florida Peninsula on Thursday into Friday, across the Florida Straits on Saturday and into the northwestern Caribbean late this weekend into early next week. At the same time, an area of low pressure is forecast to develop about halfway between the US Southeast coast and Bermuda from Friday into this weekend. This particula...
Flood waters are receding in the rain-drenched Florida Panhandle and coastal Alabama today, where prodigious rains from a moist, tropical airmass interacting with a stalled front brought flooding that caused at least $20 million in damage to thePensacola, Florida area. The most remarkable rains fell in West Pensacola, where 21.70" was recorded over the weekend. Pensacola airport received 13.13 inches of rain on Saturday, the city's second-highest 1-day rainfall total in recorded history. The ... Continue reading ...
0632Z MTSAT-RGB Imagery of '05W/UNNAMED,' now heading Westwards slowly, forecast to intensify as a Tropical Storm within the next 12-24 hrs. Imagery Courtesy: NOAA..... JASON S
Hello everyone! This will be my first posting on here so
I want to share a little bit about myself and what I hope to
contribute on Cyclone center! My name is Michael and I have always
been fascinated by weather from when I was younger as I experienced a
Tornado in New York. I did a great deal of reading on past major
severe events and also began to want to know why and how it all
works. I made connections with local MET Television folks and started
to work on forecasts for heavy snowfall ev...
Torrential rainfall led to widespread flooding along the northern Gulf Coast on Saturday, and Pensacola came about 2 inches shy of matching its all-time rainfall record for a calendar day: 15.29 inches. On Saturday, Pensacola airport received 13.13 inches of rain. The previous record was set on October 5, 1934, as Tropical Storm 9 of that year was making landfall. The record for any 24 hour period is 17.1 inches, spanning Octover 4-5 in 1934, according t...
A storm moving across the U.S. Gulf Coast battered parts of Alabama and Florida with up to 18 inches of rain on Saturday with authorities in Pensacola, Florida, declaring a state of emergency and sending out boats to rescue residents of flooded homes.
The heavy rains in the region began on Friday night. The storm is due to winds picking up tropical moisture and streaming it from New Orleans in the Gulf Coast to Jacksonville on Florida's eastern coast.
On June 9th 2012 several storms rolled in from the southwest over the Gulf of Mexico. The heavy rainfall caused flooding throughout the Pensacola region. This video was filmed about 3 hours after the end of the heaviest rainfall from my kayak immediately north of Fairfield Drive between NL and NM streets.
AFTER A SHORT RESPITE, 90W STEPS UP AS THE “NEXT BIG THING”…OR IS IT?
Welcome weekend tropical weather hunters! After a rather busy end to May, and start to June, things have quieted down just a bit across the tropical WESPAC, just as I had forecasted it would. Things are starting to heat up a little bit our east along the ITCZ with the declaration of 90W INVEST Friday morning, 08 June. A lot of theories abound with a storm that starts this far out in the ocean, and realistically speakin...
The Atlantic is currently quiet, with the only feature of interest being an old frontal boundary over the northern Gulf of Mexico that poses no significant threat for tropical development over the next few days, though it will bring rainfall to the gulf coast. As discussed back when Beryl was making landfall in Florida, the first half of June here is quiet, and will continue to be so through at least the 15th.
However, the signs for the next round of tropical activity have already been showin...
A good majority of the forecast guidance is now pointing towards tropical development to occur in the far northwestern Caribbean sometime next weekend and for this tropical system to track northward across the Gulf of Mexico shortly thereafter. With such strong model agreement and consistency, my confidence is growing that we will have the development of Tropical Storm Chris by sometime next weekend.
Looking over each individual model member: The GFS model continues to be consistent in that l... Continue reading ...
Even though we had tropical storms Alberto and Beryl already, they were both outside of the hurricane season. Since then, things have been nice and quiet. There are, however, indications that this may change. Let’s take a look at why.
There is an atmospheric phenomenon called the MJO or Madden-Jullian Oscillation that can sometimes lead to increased tropical cyclone formation when it is in its favorable mode. Think of it as a period of fertility in the tropics. A time when rising motion in ...
Although we've already had two tropical storms, today marks the "official" beginning of hurricane season.
Meteorologists agree: strong upper-atmospheric wind shear caused by a developing El Nino and cooler water temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean should prevent some smaller tropical waves from fully developing into hurricanes.
Watch the Gulf of Mexico
While water temperatures in the central and eastern Atlantic are currently cooler than normal, the water in the Gulf of Mexico is still very warm....
