Remarkable cyclonic activity in the Pacific Northwest, GUCHOL and 91W system
Infrared mode image with the typhoon GUCHOL left, and right 91W system. 15.06.12, 09 UTC.
15.06.12. With this news, we look to the western North Pacific Ocean , the tropical cyclone activity remarkable is taking place in this basin.
Thus, the archipelago of the Philippines is breathing more or less quiet since GUCHOL severe tropical storm (orBUTCHOY , according to the Philippine Weather Service, PAGASA) that is currently causing winds of 110 km / h and gusts of 140 km / h, is taking a course that avoids a direct hit from this tropical cyclone on the set of islands that form the archipelago .
Other agencies tracking cyclonic activity around the world classified as GUCHOL category 2 typhoon on the Saffir Simpson scale, so that the relevant information is not entirely clear. According to the latest satellite images, in which we see a strong convection over the center of the cyclone (CDO, Central Dense Overcast ) but not yet apparent eye, it is likely that the information provided by PAGASA is the closest to the reality.
Although the cyclone is not impacting directly on the Philippines, the outer rainbands associated with the storm if they are affecting some islands, so you should monitor your progress in the coming hours . The trajectory forecast indicates the center of the cyclone will come relatively close, as to the condition of these bands of rain, but far in strong winds near the center.
Ocean Heat Content , Heat Content Oceanic and intended course for GUCHOL. 15.06.12, 06 UTC. Credit: RAMMB / CIRA.
In the figure above, you can see the path followed by the cyclone on the archipelago. Also, this will move on waters with high oceanic heat content , energy that could be put and GUCHOL game to be further strengthened. However,the weather situation is not ideal for rapid intensification of the cyclone , and there is some wind shear that is inhibiting slightly.
In its evolution in the coming days, after brushing the Philippines, could reach Japan in the throes of extratropical transition .
Meanwhile, far to the east of GUCHOL, a broad area of low pressure that is causing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and has been placed under the label up with 91W INVEST . This area has the potential to become another tropical cyclone in the next few days , which would correspond to the name of Talim .